PayWhenWin Sports Consultants

I'M BACK! WEEK OF JULY 21st

Well, that was a well deserved (sort of) extended All-Star break.  The good news is I'm pumped and ready to go for the second half of the season.  Last year I earned $20 Thousand (on a $100 base).  This season, however, has been more of a struggle and I'm sitting just under $6 Large at the Break.  I've got some making up to do and I'm primed and ready to go at it.

Thanks to all subscribers for your patience.  I trust it will be paid off in spades.

Let's start.

MLB

Monday's Selections:

• MILW +100 W
• ARZ +120 W
• NYY -130 W
• TOR/BAL O10 -120 W
• OAK +170 L
• KC -110 L

Monday: 4-2 +$210; Season so far: 402-350 (53.5%) +$5,941

Took it easy first day back on the horse and it paid off nicely with a 4-2 night.  The Yanks are playing great ball of late.  So is TeeBay mind you and I took a shot with a nice dog.  On to Tuesday.

Tuesday's Selections:

• PHIL +150 W
• SD/CIN O8.5 +105 L
• HSTN -110 L
• TOR/BAL O9 -120 W
• BALT -115 L
• OAK +135 W
• CLEV +160 L

Tuesday: 3-4 ($40); Season so far: 405-354 (53.4%) +$5,901

Won on a couple of good sized pups, but also lost on some.  Overall, a losing night going 3-4, but mitigated the damage to some degree.

Wednesday's Selections:

• KC +100 L
• OAK +175 L
• MILW -145 W
• MIL/STL U8.5 -130 W
• CUB -120 W
• BSTN +120 W
• BST/SEA O8+100 W
• TOR -105 PPD

Wednesday: 5-2 +$320; Season so far: 410-356 (53.5%) +$6,221

Nice turnaround after going 0-2 in the afternoon affairs with a couple of pups.  Too bad for the rain in Baltimore, otherwise could have been an awesome day.

Thursday's Selections:

• PHIL +120 L
• WASH +120 L
• TOR/BAL U8.5 -125 W
• KC +100 W

Thursday: 2-2 +$0; Season so far: 412-358 (53.5%) +$6,221

One of my only wagering weaknesses is stubborness.  I just don't believe in some teams.  Many times it costs me.  I'll continue to go against Tampa and last night it worked out ok and ended up saving my day. 

KELLY ON EXTENDED ALL-STAR BREAK

Don't you hate when sometimes the real worlds gets in the way of sports.  I mean, sports is the way we escape from the real world, so if you can't escape and have only the real world to deal with, your in trouble.

Another form of escape is taking a long well-deserved vacation.  I've been in this business in a serious way for quite some time, sending selections every day and writing a daily blog.  Even when on vacation, whether travels have taken me to the Great White North or to the sunny Caribbean, I have maintained my capping and consulting service.

Well the logistics of this next trip of mine make that damn near impossible.  I'm off to Italy for three weeks touring the various regions of that country; essentially eating and drinking my way through Italy.  As such, doing the type of analysis that is required to steadily win in MLB is simply not possible.  That leaves me with two choices: i) continue to send out selections while doing a half-assed job of analyzing or ii) take a break.  I've chosen the latter.  As it is, being up close to $6 Large is good, but not nearly as good as it was last season.  I'm not about to tamper with that.

I have sent out an e-mail two-weeks ago to my loyal subscribers so everyone is aware.  Not everyone is happy, but I'm telling you, this is far better than me sending picks to you that I simply haven't spent the appropriate time working on.  I have given everyone the option of a refund and so far, thankfully, you have all been understanding.  I thank you for that.

So, everyone, enjoy the real All-Star break that's coming up, enjoy the Long Weekend and take a break yourselves; it'll pay itself back in spades.

See you July 22nd,

Kelly

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WEEKEND OF JUNE 27th

Up in The Great White North for the Canada Day celebrations and staying for good old July 4th.  Then off to Europe for some business.  Updates will be somewhat sketchy and in summary form.  Subscribers will continue to receive selections as per the norm.  Good luck everyone.

Friday: 6-4 +$245; Season so far: 387-339 (53.3%) +$5,421

Saturday: 4-5 ($70); Season so far: 391-345 (53.1%) +$5,351

Sunday: 7-3 +$380; Season so far: 398-348 (53.3%) +$5,731

 

WEEK OF JUNE 23rd

MLB

Monday's Selections:

• ARZ/BST U8.5 -110 W
• KC -110 W
• LAA -1.5 +105 L

Monday: 2-1 +$100; Season so far: 370-324 (53.3%) +$5,201

Damn run-line cost me a perfect night.  But, I simply can't play a fav and lay 180.  Just not my style. 

Tuesday's Selections:

• MILW +110 W
• NYY/PIT O9 -130 W
• STL +135 W
• CINC +130 L
• LAA -150 W
• CUBS -130 L
• CWS +100 W

Tuesday: 5-2 +$315.  Season so far: 375-326 (53.5%) +$5,516

Wednesday's Selections:

• CINC +155 W
• ARZ +135 L
• LAA/WASH O8 -115 W
• BALT +165 L
• HSTN -160 L
• KC +100 W
• CWS -110 L

Wednesday: 3-4 ($115).  Season so far: 378-330 (53.4%) +$5,401

Thursday: 3-5 ($225); Season so far: 381-335 (53.2%) +$5,176

 

WEEKEND OF JUNE 20th

Well, I believe you read it here first ladies and gentlemen, that the can would be tied to ex-Blue Jays manager John Gibbons.  What I could not have forecast was that his replacement would be ex-Blue Jays manager Cito Gaston.  This world is getting crazier each and every day.

MLB

Friday's Selections:

• CWS +115 L
• TOR/PIT U8 -120 W
• CINC +125 W
• HSTN +130 W
• SEA/ATL O8.5 +100 W
• SF +100 W
• DET +105 L

Friday: 5-2 +$355; Season so far: 360-315 (53.3%) +$5,071

Great night last night.  Didn't start out so great with an afternoon loss.  But ended up being one of my better inter-league wagering days of the past couple of seasons.  Let's see if I can keep it going.

Saturday and Sunday:

Been traveling a bit lately.  Subscribers have received selections in plenty of time.  Just haven't updated blog with results.  Here are the results:

Saturday: 5-3 +$215

Sunday: 3-5 ($185); Season so far: 368-323 (53.3% +$5,101

 

WEEK OF JUNE 16th

So, the Mets finally pulled the trigger and canned Willie Randolph.  I guess you can't spend all that cash, have a .500 club then go shooting your mouth off on how unfair life is in NYC.  Look for Toronto's Gibbons to be not too far behind.

MLB

Monday's Selections:

• BSTN +145 L
• ATL +110 W
• NYM +135 W

Monday: 2-1 +$145; Season so far: 346-304 (53.2%) +$4,721

Hey, the take the dog theory worked nicely last night.  Nothing like going 2-1 but adding some good coin to the purse.  On to Tuesday's full slate of games.

Tuesday's Selections:

• HSTN +130 L
• BSTN +100 W
• MILW -125 W
• WASH/MIN O9.5 +105 L
• PIT +165 L
• OAK +120 W

Tuesday: 3-3 +$50; Season so far: 349-307 (53.2%) +$4,771

Playing mainly dogs saved my ass tonight.  I'm holding my own, but really can't wait for this sillyness, called inter-league play, to be done with.

Wednesday's Selections:

• CINC -115 L
• HSTN +140 L
• SD/NYY O9 +105 W
• CUBS -125 L
• MILW -130 W
• OAK +125 L
• NYM +120 W

Wednesday: 3-4 ($115); Season so far: 352-311 (53.1%) +$4,656

I hate inter-league play!

Thursday's Selections:

• MILW -105 W
• TOR/MIL O8.5 -115 W
• CUBS +130, FOR $150**** L
• CUB/TB O8.5 +110 W
• CLEV +105 L

Thursday: 3-2 +$60; Season so far: 355-313 (53.1%) +$4,716

Wow, the Cubs getting swept in Tampa is a bit of a shocker.  Good thing I didn't put more on the play.  Haven't lost a major wager in a while.  At least up on the day.

NBA

Tuesday's Selections:

• LAL MONEY-LINE +180 L
• LAL/BST O191 W

Tuesday: 1-1 +$0

That's it for another pretty successful NBA campaign.  I'm glad I was able to make a lot of people a lot of dough.  Until next year!

FINAL NBA PLAYOFFS 2008: 74-54 (57.8%) +$1,917

WEEKEND OF JUNE 13th

MLB

Friday's Selections:

• FLA +140 L
• SD +130 L
• DET -135 W
• CUBS +120 L
• NYY/HSTN O9.5 +105 L
• ATL +135 W

Friday: 2-4 ($165); Season so far: 337-298 (53.1%) +$4,266

I hate inter-league play.  'Nough said.  On to today's inter-league crap.

Saturday's Selections:

• CUBS +150 W
• PHIL/STL U9.5 -120 W
• DET -130 W
• NYY -120 W
• TEX/NYM O9 -125 PPD
• SF +115 L

Saturday: 4-1 +$350; Season so far: 341-299 (53,3%) +4,616

I love inter-league play!  Kidding.  Only small cards for me.  Today, it happened to work out.  Let's see what gives on Sunday.

Sunday's Selections:

• CUBS -105 W
• LAD +110 L
• CINC +130 L
• FLA +140 W
• MIN/MIL O9 +100 L
• STL +120 W
• ATL +125 L

Sunday: 3-4 ($40); Season so far: 344-303 (53.2%) +$4,576

Thankfully hit a couple of nice puppies, otherwise could have been a disaster of a day.  Still going easy through this inter-league spell.  A 9-9 weekend, but added some coin by playing smartly.

NBA

Sunday's Selections:

• LAL -7 L
• BST/LAL O191.5 W

Sunday: 1-1 ($10); Playoffs so far: 73-53 (57.9%) +$1,917

WEEK OF JUNE 9th

MLB

Monday's Selections:

• PIT +110 W
• KC/NYY O10 -115 W
• MIN +165 L
• TOR -170 L
• SF -130 W
• CLE/DET U9.5 +100 L

Monday: 3-3 ($60); Season so far: 321-284 (53.1%) +$3,976

I hadn't taken a major fav in quite some time.  But those Blue Jays looked so ripe to me.  So, let's see: bottom of 10, down by one, bases loaded with none out.  Easy as pie right?  Nope.  Loser.  That'll teach me (or will it?!).  On to Tuesday.

Tuesday's Selections:

• BALT/BSTN O9 -110 W
• WASH +130 W
• ARZ +125 W
• PHIL -125 L
• SEA/TOR U9 -115 W
• MIN +150 L
• TEX -105 W
• OAK +105 L

Tuesday: 5-3 +$230; Season so far: 326-287 (53.2%) +$4,206

Nice come-back day for me, going 5-3 and hitting a couple of pups.  On to today.

Wednesday's Selections:

• TOR -140 L
• LAA -115 W
• WASH +115 L
• STL +120 W
• MINN +120 W
• ATL +130 L
• TEX/KC O9 -130 W
• LAD/SD U7 -115 W
• OAK -120 W

Wednesday: 6-3 +$300; Season so far: 332-290 (53.3%) +$4,506

The Jays continue to kill me.  Other than that, a great day going 6-3 and adding to the coffers.  Let's go for three winning days in a row.

Thursday's Selections:

• ARZ +130 W
• TEX +105 L
• DET -115 W
• LA/SD O7 -110 W
• STL +120 L
• FLA +105 L
• OAK -105 L

Thursday: 3-4 ($75); Season so far: 335-294 (53.2%) +$4,431

An unreal come-back by Arizona kept the day's loss to a minimum.  Did great in the afternoon games but went to sleep for the night games.  A promising 3-1 start to the day turned into a loss.  Let's get 'em this weekend, but intend on treading carefully due to intra-league play.

NBA

Tuesday's Selections:

• BST/LAL U195.5 W

Tuesday: 1-0 +$100; Playoffs so far: 72-51 (58.5%) +$2,027

Knew the Lakers were going to win, but couldn't pull trigger on a line that was -9.5.  At the same time, couldn't back a team I didn't think had a shot at winning.  So played the one total last night.

Thursday's Selections:

• LAKERS MONEY-LINE/U191.5 PARLAY +148 L

Thursday: 0-1 ($100); Playoffs so far: 72-52 (58.1%) +1,927

Took a different approach last night, something I should have done in the previous game.  Surprised by the Celts win. 

 

WEEKEND OF JUNE 6th

MLB

Friday's Selections:

• PIT +140 L
• BALT +150 W
• TB -135 W
• SF/WAS O7 -110, TO WIN $200***** W
• COL +120 W
• SD +130 W
• NYM/SD O7 -105 L
• CUBS +100 L
• LAA -115 W

Friday: 6-3 +$495; Season so far: 307-274 (52.8%) +$3,578

Nothing like following-up a losing day with a huge winning day.  Going 6-3 is one thing.  Add on hitting three pups, one at +150, and hitting the major wager (a $200 one, which I haven't done in a bit), and you've got the recipe for a monster day!  On to Saturday.

Saturday's Selections:

• BALT +130 W
• BAL/TOR O8 +105 W
• KC +175 L
• SEA +145 L
• LAD +105 W
• PIT +120 L
• WASH -120 L
• PHI/ATL U10 +100 W
• MIN +145 L

Saturday: 4-5 ($80); Season so far: 311-279 (52.7%) +$3,498

Ahh, if only.  If only the KC Royals held on for victory, yesterday would have turned out so much better.  What a collapse!  Still up big time for the weekend.  On to Sunday.

Sunday's Selections:

• FLA +105 W
• CIN/FLA O9 -120 W
• PHIL +120 W
• SF/WASH O8.5 -130 W
• NYY/TOR PARLAY +123 W
• MIN/CHI O9 -130 W
• LAA +120 L
• TEX +115 W
• LAD -125 L

Sunday: 7-2 +$538; Season so far: 318-281 (53.1%) +$4,036

What a great day, going 7-2 to cap off a pretty darn good weekend on the diamond.  Too bad the Dodgers couldn't capitalize in the late game.  On to today.

 

NBA

Sunday's Selections:

• LAL -1 L
• LAL/BST O190.5 W

Sunday: 1-1 ($10); Playoffs so far: 71-51 +$1,927

WEEK OF JUNE 2nd

MLB

Monday's Selections:

• CINC +120 L
• ATL -150, TO WIN $150**** W
• BSTN +100 L
• BST/BAL O9 -120 P
• TEX +110 L
• SD +140 L
• NYM/SF O8 -110 W
• COL +140 L

Monday: 2-5-1 ($250); Season so far: 287-261 (52.3%) +2,673

Tuesday's Selections:

• PHIL -115 W
• TOR -105 W
• TOR/NYY O8 +110 W
• ARZ -110 L
• BALT +130 W
• KC/CWS O8 -120 W
• SD +100 L
• LAD -145 L

Tuesday: 5-3 +$185; Season so far: 292-264 (52.5%) +$2,858

Wednesday's Selections:

• MILW -115 W
• DET +115 L
• NYM -125 W
• CIN/PHIL U9.5 -115 W
• STL -120 PPD
• TB +160 L
• NYY -135 W
• SD +105 W

Wednesday: 5-2 +$305; Season so far: 297-266 (52.8%) +$3,163

Thursday Selections:

• PHIL -1.5 -110 W
• TOR +155 L
• TOR/NYY O8.5 +110 W
• TB +100 L
• TB/BSTN O9 +100 L
• HSTN +105 L
• WASH (#2) -120 W
• KC +155 L
• CUBS +110 W

Thursday: 4-5 ($80); Season so far: 301-271 (52.6%) +$3,083

 
 

NBA

Playoffs so far: 69-49 +$1,937

Thursday's Selections:

• LAKERS MONEY-LINE +135 L
• LAL/BSTN U192 W

Thursday: 1-1 +$0; Playoffs so far: 70-50 +$1,937

 

NHL

Monday's Selections:

• DET/OVER 5 PARLAY +146 L

Monday: 0-1 ($100); Playoffs so far: 47-45 +592

Wednesday's Selections:

• DET -135 W
• DET -1.5 +220, FOR $50  L
• DET/PIT O5 -135 P

Wednesday: 1-1-1 +$50

NHL PLAYOFFS FINAL RECORD: 48-46 +$642